HMMüllerTech

Apple is closing in on Windows and Microsoft has no answer

Hmmuller Mar 25, 2026

Apple just launched a $599 laptop. Windows 11 is drowning in AI and way slower performance compared to Apple silicon. And Microsoft’s ARM chips are only now starting to catch up with Apple silicon that could be much needed shift that could reshape the PC market for good – and I am routing for it!

For decades, Windows owned the PC market by default. It was everywhere — in offices, schools, and homes. Apple’s Macs were the expensive alternative for creatives. But that story is changing fast, and Microsoft is running out of time to respond.

The MacBook Neo changes everything

On March 4, 2026, Apple did something nobody expected. It launched the MacBook Neo — a $599 laptop that directly targets the budget PC and Chromebook market. For years, the cheapest way into the Mac ecosystem was around $999. That barrier is gone.

The Neo runs on Apple’s A18 Pro chip — yes, a smartphone processor — but don’t let that fool you. Apple claims it’s up to 50 percent faster for everyday tasks than the bestselling Intel-based PC. It comes in four colors, weighs just 2.7 pounds, and delivers 16 hours of battery life. The $499 education price makes it a direct Chromebook killer.

This is a strategic masterstroke. Apple has effectively doubled its addressable PC market overnight. Fortune reported that PC makers are “taking it very seriously,” and for good reason. ASUS CFO Nick Wu called it “a shock to the entire market.”

Budget Windows laptops have always competed on price because they couldn’t compete on quality. Now Apple is competing on both. That’s a problem Microsoft can’t ignore.

Windows 11 is Microsoft’s Vista

While Apple sharpens its weapons, Microsoft is busy putting out fires. Windows 11 had over 20 major update problems in 2025 alone, and 2026 started with more of the same. The January 2026 update shipped with black screens and frozen Outlook accounts. At this point, Patch Tuesday feels more like a game of Russian roulette.

The problems go deeper than buggy updates. Users hate the forced features, the inconsistent UI, and the constant feeling that Microsoft is building Windows for advertisers rather than for them. Windows Central put it bluntly: Windows 11’s reputation is at an all-time low.

Sound familiar? It should. This is the Vista playbook all over again.

Windows Vista launched with high hardware requirements, a sluggish interface, and driver compatibility nightmares. Users revolted. Businesses refused to upgrade. The damage was so severe that Microsoft had to rush out Windows 7 as a mea culpa. Windows 11 is walking the same path — forced hardware requirements with TPM 2.0, a half-baked design language, and an update system that breaks more than it fixes.

Microsoft has acknowledged the mess. They’ve declared 2026 a “repair year” focused on stability and performance. But acknowledgment isn’t a fix. And users who’ve already jumped ship to macOS aren’t coming back for a promise.

The Snapdragon X2 is Windows’ M1 moment — sort of

Credit where it’s due: the Snapdragon X2 Elite is the closest thing Windows has ever had to an M1 moment. Built on a 3nm process with new Oryon Prime cores, it brings up to 18 cores, clock speeds reaching 4.7 GHz (5 GHz on the Extreme variant), and an NPU upgraded to 80 TOPS — nearly double the original X1. Qualcomm claims 75% faster CPU performance and over 2x GPU performance per watt compared to the first generation.

The benchmarks back it up. The X2 Elite Extreme trades blows with Apple’s M4 Max — matching it in single-core and tying the 14-core variant in multi-core. That’s not a consolation prize. That’s genuine parity at the top end.

BenchmarkSnapdragon X2 Elite ExtremeApple M4 MaxVerdict
Single-core CPUCompetitiveCompetitiveNear parity
Multi-core CPUTies M4 Max (14-core)Ties X2 ExtremeDead heat
NPU (TOPS)80 TOPS38 TOPSQualcomm leads
GPU per watt2.3x improvement over X1Still ahead overallGap narrowing

On paper, this is exactly the kind of hardware leap that should give Windows on ARM real credibility. The original Snapdragon X Elite was a solid first swing but still trailed Apple’s M4 by wide margins in single-core and GPU performance. The X2 closes that gap dramatically. If this were only about silicon, you could argue Windows just had its M1 moment.

But it’s not only about silicon. And that’s where the comparison falls apart.

Apple’s real advantage was never just the chip

When Apple launched the M1 in late 2020, the chip was only half the story. The other half was Rosetta 2 — Apple’s emulation layer that let virtually every existing Mac app run on ARM silicon from day one. Not “most apps.” Not “the popular ones.” Users upgraded their MacBooks and barely noticed the architecture had changed underneath. That seamlessness and and Apple delivering on their bold claims in their bold statements is what made the M1 transition revolutionary

Apple could pull this off because it controls the entire stack. It designs the chip, builds the hardware, writes the operating system, and sets the rules for the app ecosystem. When Apple decided ARM was the future, it could drag every developer along on a clear timeline with excellent tools. There was one platform to target, one emulation layer to rely on, and one company making sure it all worked together.

Microsoft has none of those advantages. And that’s why the Snapdragon X2 — despite its impressive silicon — still doesn’t deliver a true M1 moment.

Windows on ARM: promising hardware, unfinished software

The state of Windows on ARM in early 2026 is a mixed bag. The good news: the 100 most popular Windows apps now have native ARM versions, and users spend over 90% of their time in ARM-native apps. Browsers, Office, Adobe Photoshop, Slack, Zoom — they all run natively. Microsoft’s Prism emulation layer handles most legacy x86 apps reasonably well.

But “reasonably well” is not Rosetta 2. Apple’s emulation was so good that most users genuinely couldn’t tell the difference between native and emulated apps. Prism is functional, but it’s not invisible. Performance dips are noticeable, and some apps simply don’t work right. The day-one experience on a Snapdragon laptop still involves more compromises and question marks than the M1 MacBook ever did.

And then there are the gaps that no amount of emulation can paper over:

  • Creative workflows — Adobe After Effects and Premiere Pro still lack native ARM versions. For video editors and motion designers, that an issue. Adobe has announced suupport for the snapdragon X2 Elite, but the actual performance is yet to be seen.
  • Gaming — Most PC games don’t have ARM builds. Emulation works for some titles, but the performance hit is something gamers won’t accept.
  • Drivers and peripherals — Windows on ARM only supports ARM64 native drivers. Older printers, scanners, audio interfaces, and VPN clients may not work if manufacturers haven’t updated. This is a slow, unglamorous problem that frustrates real users daily.
  • Enterprise software — Legacy line-of-business apps that companies depend on are often the last to get ARM updates. IT departments won’t roll out ARM laptops until they’re certain nothing breaks.

The trajectory is encouraging. Developer adoption is growing, and Qualcomm’s market push gives OEMs a reason to invest. But calling Windows on ARM “ready” would be generous. It’s more accurate to say it’s promising but unproven at scale.

This is the fundamental difference between Apple’s M1 moment and what Microsoft is attempting with the Snapdragon X2. Apple delivered a complete package — world-class silicon and world-class software compatibility on day one. Microsoft has the silicon now. The software ecosystem? That’s still a work in progress, and there’s no guarantee it will ever reach Rosetta 2 levels of seamlessness. Microsoft doesn’t control its hardware partners, its driver vendors, or the thousands of third-party developers who need to care enough to ship ARM builds. Apple controlled all of it. That gap matters more than any benchmark.

The Windows 7 playbook

History offers Microsoft a roadmap. After Vista’s disaster, Microsoft listened to the feedback they got. Windows 7 wasn’t flashy. It didn’t reinvent the wheel. It took Vista’s foundation, stripped out the bloat, fixed the performance issues, and delivered an OS that just worked. Users loved it. Businesses adopted it. It became one of the most beloved versions of Windows ever.

Windows 11 needs the same treatment. Microsoft needs to:

  • Fix the update system — stop shipping patches that break core functionality
  • Respect user choices — let people set default browsers, disable telemetry, and customize their experience without jumping through hoops
  • Prioritize performance — File Explorer shouldn’t be a bottleneck in 2026
  • Drop the hardware gatekeeping — the TPM 2.0 requirement locked out millions of perfectly capable PCs

Microsoft’s “repair year” pledge for 2026 sounds promising. But words are cheap. The company has a long history of promising focus and delivering bloat instead.

The clock is ticking. Apple’s market share grew from 8% to 8.7% in just one year — and that was before the MacBook Neo. With a $599 entry point, best-in-class silicon, and an OS that doesn’t fight its users, Apple has never been in a stronger position to take a real bite out of Windows.

Microsoft has half the equation figured out. The Snapdragon X2 proves the hardware can compete. But a fast chip without a complete ecosystem is like a sports car without roads. Apple didn’t just build a great chip with the M1 — it built the entire highway system around it. Until Microsoft can match that level of software readiness, the Snapdragon X2 will remain a half-finished M1 moment. And half isn’t enough when your competitor is offering the whole package for $599.